Future socialization will make desktop miniaturization only have "big PC" in the future.

Miniaturization has become a key trend in the development of personal computers, especially in the notebook segment, which is the most obvious example. However, it's also an important part of the PC industry — the desktop. Yet, it doesn't seem to be as concerned with size, particularly in the DIY market, where the majority of desktop cases are still mid-tower chassis, whether from branded or custom manufacturers. Compared to products from ten years ago, desktops today don’t really show any sense of rebellion in terms of size. So, will the desktop continue to maintain its current size, or will it shrink further in the age of miniaturization? Looking at two examples can help us understand this better. Microsoft’s Surface series includes tablets, laptops, and all-in-ones, but no traditional desktops. Similarly, Apple has focused on notebooks and all-in-ones in recent product updates, with the Mac Pro and Mac Mini remaining largely unchanged for years. These are both design-driven tech companies, and their lack of focus on desktops seems to reflect a broader trend. The consumer desktop market appears to be moving toward a "de-desktop" era. While mainstream PC manufacturers still release one or two desktop models occasionally, the frequency and number of such releases have significantly decreased compared to the past. Most of these products are targeted at the gaming market, requiring high performance and robust cooling solutions, which often means larger chassis designs. Innovation in desktops is challenging, so we see fewer options for home users, mostly low- to mid-range models. Manufacturers aren’t investing much in these, so the design of the chassis tends to follow conventional rules, keeping the size relatively small. Moreover, from the user perspective, there isn’t much demand for smaller or larger desktops. For families, the size of the computer isn’t a priority; for gamers, a tower-shaped desktop is still preferred to accommodate powerful graphics cards. Therefore, the push for miniaturization in desktops isn’t strong. If the usage scenarios of desktops don’t change fundamentally, their importance won’t either. For users, the size of the desktop doesn’t make a big difference. Based on the above analysis, I believe that in the next one to two years, desktop sizes will remain largely unchanged, dominated by mid-tower cases. However, looking ahead, the future of socialization may lead to smaller desktops. In the coming era of artificial intelligence and the Internet of Things, the role of the desktop might shift. For average users, the biggest change will be the digitization of life — turning physical switches into screen buttons and moving data sharing to the cloud. While digital control doesn’t rely on computers directly, the social aspect of data exchange still depends on them. This means that the desktop could play a crucial role as a small server in the home, handling data storage, processing, and connectivity. Such a server needs to run 24/7, have large storage, fast processing, scalability, and be a universal platform — all features that a desktop can offer. As a result, in the AI and IoT era, desktops might find new use cases, becoming more about data management than just computing power. At this point, miniaturization could become a key feature. But it's not just about making the desktop smaller — it's about redefining its form factor. The user interface might even be completely redesigned, with traditional ports like USB and 3.5mm jacks replaced by universal expansion ports for smart home devices. Some may wonder if a corporate server could replace a desktop. After all, users could buy server capacity directly. Why add another device? The answer lies in the need for a unified platform. With multiple service platforms emerging, interoperability becomes a challenge. A home server can act as a central hub, ensuring seamless communication between different smart devices. Additionally, cloud services are often time-based and may not cover all home devices, leading to inefficiencies. A local server provides a more reliable and cost-effective solution. So, while the future may bring more advanced devices, the desktop could still play an essential role in the home — not as a bulky machine, but as a powerful, compact server. In the long run, users may not even see a traditional desktop, with phones serving as simple displays connected to the server. Of course, this vision is still far off, but the shift toward AI and IoT is inevitable. Computers and mobile devices are products of the internet era, and the next era will bring new technologies that reshape our lives. Desktops may be the darlings of the internet age, but they may soon become obsolete — replaced by more advanced, integrated systems.

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